In our latest Learn 101 livestream session, we gathered an esteemed panel of crypto experts to share insights on whether BTC will soar to $100K by 2024.

The extreme volatility of Bitcoin and periods of strong growth throughout its history have created substantial wealth for many investors. Bitcoin breached $70,000 earlier in 2024, and many investors are eagerly awaiting price movement to $100,000.

, we ask, “Will Bitcoin Soar to $100K by 2024?”

, provides a recap of our Learn 101 livestreams, offering you comprehensive expertise and insights from leading figures in the crypto industry in case you miss the livestream.

Joining the livestream on Sep 11, 2024 were four distinguished guests:

Under the moderation of Sabrina Chua, Crypto Evangelist and SEO Editor at Bybit, this episode explores if Bitcoin’s price will reach $100K by 2024.

Bitcoin's Journey — Looking Back to Look Forward

At the start of the livestream, Michael Ionita created an automated trading order to demonstrate how easy it is. It remained running in the background until the end of the stream, when our guests reviewed the order.

Throughout the years, Bitcoin’s price has been influenced by the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, government policy, ETF applications and other factors. Henrique Centieiro stated that short-term macroeconomics are impacted by the Federal Reserve. The economy is currently relatively shaky, and he anticipates more money will be printed. When this last took place, the stock market shot up, and Bitcoin’s price increased substantially. Centieiro attributes this to the level of increased money in circulation.

Referring to a chart that shows a correlation between lowered U.S. interest rates and Bitcoin’s price, Ionita demonstrated that increased money supply has boosted Bitcoin’s prices.

Jerry Li is bullish over the next six months. He reminded us that inflation weakens both the U.S. dollar and purchasing power, and as interest rates drop, he sees a correction in the crypto market that will positively affect Bitcoin’s price.

Centieiro stated that some people will take profits during the rate adjustment. He believes that the next month may be bearish, but there will then be a bull rush.

Ionita said that the market has been impacted by Russia’s new Bitcoin policy, asserting that this is bringing more funds into Bitcoin. However, many people in Russia are holding Bitcoin on a short-term basis because they’re making purchases with it. This makes Russia’s policy impact both bullish and bearish: Ionita maintains that other countries may act on this by prohibiting or limiting Bitcoin because of world events.

Meanwhile, Centieiro stated that the amount of money being kept on exchanges is at an all-time low, which means people are holding for a longer period of time. Bitcoin miners continue to invest in mining equipment. In addition, Michael Saylor has stated that Bitcoin’s price will reach 

Li drew attention to the fact that recently, hash power has increased dramatically, which is attributable to the entrance of more people and countries into the crypto market.

Ionita described the Bitcoin Spot ETF rally of 100%, attributing it to massive public interest. He believes BTC’s price is being heavily restricted because of this huge interest, and expects its price to rise by the end of October, based on the interest in Bitcoin Spot ETFs.

Centieiro said that there’s a lag as money managers decide whether to invest or not. Adding Bitcoin to a fund, even in small amounts, increases diversity and lower risks. He believes this is a win-win situation for money managers.

Li reminded us that Bitcoin will definitely reach $100,000 at some point, but nobody knows when. The upcoming U.S. election may drive its price up, but it could also bring greater volatility. Other catalysts may drive the price up as well.

Ionita referred to his screen again, saying that it’s hard to predict a price for something with multiple variables. However, he referred to the Fibonacci cycle for the current market, which reveals a Bitcoin price prediction between $200,000 to $300,000, adding that it’s impossible to predict the time frame. The average cycle time, however, is 1,069 days, which would extrapolate to the end of October 2025, but this time frame is fuzzy. He believes $200,000 is realistic for the cycle.

Centieiro described some price movement obstacles that have prevented Bitcoin’s price increase or slowed the time frame for BTC hitting $100,000 — the uncertainty of the U.S. election, for one. He also referred to a chart showing a lower flow in market-based mining activity. This indicates a type of magnet for the price. Centieiro also introduced a power log that shows BItcoin’s price should currently be around $90,000. He believes the current price is a pressure cooker, and the price will therefore greatly increase.

Zitane said the main risks that could stymie BTC price growth are regulatory uncertainty, economic instability and military conflicts, among others, directly affecting BTC’s price.

Ionita added that investors should get out of any risky asset in a downturn in order to prevent loss. He stressed the importance of understanding that both BTC and the U.S. dollar are preferred as investments in different situations, and showed a graph indicating that dollar-cost averaging (DCA) isn’t a wise approach for risky assets.

Li, however, stated that he uses DCA. He believes it’s a healthy strategy over a long period of time, due to his confidence that Bitcoin’s price will eventually go back up after a dip.

Centieiro agreed with Ionita that it’s not advisable to use DCA for an asset that’s going to zero. However, he doesn’t believe that Bitcoin will ever go to zero. Centieiro believes in DCA as a solid, long-term strategy to smooth out BTC market volatility.

Zitane has a simple strategy: he only uses DCA. He makes a purchase, and then buys again if the price goes down. He pays attention to the news, keeps buying when the price goes down and continues to reduce his average price.

Ionita reminded us that you can make more money with manual trading if you know what you’re doing. Most people aren’t professional traders, though, and can get wrecked in a bear market if they don’t stay on top of things. He recommends that these traders use an automated algorithm.

Smart Trading — Entering and Exiting with Confidence

Centieiro explained how he enters a trade: he buys BTC and holds it for at least a few years, looking for a relatively cheaper price as compared to previous prices. This is determined by a look at the 200-day moving average. He also looks at the Crypto Fear & Greed Index. Centieiro explained that investors must decide how long they plan to hold BTC 

 buying it. He invests a portion of his investment amount at one time, and spreads the rest of his investment out over several weeks.

Ionita, however, holds his BTC over several months. He looks at Fibonacci and other charts to invest funds in BTC and several other assets, based on risk. He maintains a specific allocation, with more allocation to the least risky assets.

This session of the Learn 101 livestream highlighted “Will Bitcoin Soar to $100K by 2024?”

As part of the livestream, Bybit is holding an 

 that offers you a chance to participate in our pop quiz and win a share of 300 USDT in airdrops. The event period is through September 18, 2024, 11:59PM UTC.

Stay tuned for more discussions on the dynamic world of cryptocurrencies!

Intermediate

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Learn Live ICYMI: Will Bitcoin Soar to $100K by 2024?

Self Chain (SLF) is a Layer 1 network that provides a cross-chain keyless wallet solution, along with modular intent-based transaction execution capabilities.

 can be tedious and frustrating, especially for beginners. At the same time, careful private key management is crucial if the user wants to avoid security breaches or the loss of access to their wallet. 

Wouldn't it be great if you could transact securely on blockchains using your social media logins while also enjoying the cryptographic protection features provided by crypto wallets? And without the need for private key or 

This is exactly what Self Chain (SLF), an innovative 

 blockchain project, offers to the crypto user community.

multi-party computation — threshold signature scheme

 (MPC-TSS), Self Chain offers keyless wallet services that let you transact across multiple chains and applications. Additionally, its solution comes with a large language model (LLM) intent-based chat assistant to find you the best deals and transaction options in the cryptocurrency world.

 (SLF) is a decentralized platform that describes itself as the first modular intent-centric access Layer 1 blockchain. 

It provides two key services: an AI-driven chat assistant that helps users carry out intent-based transactions, and a keyless wallet solution that facilitates multichain logins and transactions without the need for private key or seed phrase management. Self Chain’s Layer 1 network is based on the popular Cosmos SDK blockchain development framework. 

 (ATOM) ecosystem, Self Chain uses the delegated proof of stake (DPoS) block processing method, with validator nodes securing the network.

The project was initially called Frontier (FRONT). It began its network operations with the launch of an incentivized testnet in April 2021. In mid-2024, Frontier was rebranded to Self Chain and launched its mainnet.

Self Chain's AI chat assistant accepts voice and textual inputs from the user, and searches multiple blockchain platforms and 

 (DApps) to find the best possible deals. This service can be used in various areas, including 

 (DeFi). For instance, crypto gamers can use Self Chain’s intent-based search for the best deals on gaming 

 assets, while DeFi traders can instruct the assistant to find the best rates for specific coin swaps.

The platform's keyless wallet infrastructure service allows users to securely use email- and social media–based 

 logins to blockchain apps and platforms. This is enabled by splitting the wallet's seed phase into three parts, each stored separately — one encrypted on the user's device, the second encrypted and stored on the Self Chain network in a decentralized manner and the third reserved for wallet recovery purposes..

The platform's chat assistant is based on an LLM model that transforms user inputs into signed automated intent instructions. These instructions are passed to Intent Searchers, entities that scout the blockchain ecosystem for the best deals and most efficient paths for the intended transaction. Once the optimal source is found, Intent Searchers pass the request to intent solvers, whose job is to execute the transaction.

Blockchain DApps that aspire to become Searchers and solvers within the Self Chain ecosystem can use the Intent DSL SDK, a development framework offered by the platform. Using the SDK, DApps can integrate into the platform's architecture and translate user intent commands into executable searches and transactions.

The Self Chain keyless wallet service is powered by MPC-TSS technology, which permits splitting the user's private key, seed phrase or other secret identifier into multiple fractions, each stored independently to avoid a single point of failure. As a security technology, MPC-TSS predates blockchain, and can be applied in a chain-agnostic manner.

In Self Chain's implementation of MPC-TSS, there are three seed phrase fractions, with the two main ones — the Personal Share and the Remote Share — held on the user's device and the blockchain, respectively. When an operation is carried out, the Personal Share is matched against the Remote Share to facilitate the transaction. A network of MPC nodes encrypts the Remote Share in a distributed fashion to further enhance the security of operations.

The third fraction — the Recovery Share — is used solely to restore access to the user's device or add a new device.

Thanks to this chain-agnostic keyless system, users can retain the self-custody of their wallets, enjoy the security of the blockchain's cryptographic protection and use keyless logins on a myriad of platforms.

Self Chain lets users enjoy multichain account abstraction (AA), whereby wallets can carry out complex operations without you needing to worry about the specifics of underlying technology. For example, Self Chain–based wallets can execute bundled transactions, carry out cross-chain operations and optimize gas fees, all without user intervention.

What Is the Self Chain Crypto Token (SLF)?

During the project's mid-2024 rebranding from Frontier to Self Chain, its native cryptocurrency was migrated from the FRONT token on the 

 (BNB) to the SLF coin, native to the Self Chain's Layer 1 network. The migration was announced in late August 2024, and as of the time of this writing (Sep 16, 2024), FRONT holders can still migrate their tokens, with no specific conversion deadline provided by the project team.

SLF is used for a wide variety of functions on the Self Chain platform, including the following:

SLF has a total and maximum supply of 360 million. The coin's supply allocation shares are per the chart below:

The SLF coin is available on Bybit as a Perpetual contract with USDT (

). Under this contract, you can trade SLF with up to 12.5x leverage.

Self Chain's innovative system simplifies keyless multichain web3 access, while the versatile LLM assistant helps efficiently interpret user intent to conduct diverse transactions across networks. This is a functional set that few other projects in the industry can provide. In particular, the keyless wallet solution is something that truly sets Self Chain apart. 

While there are a few crypto projects that utilize an intent-focused approach and AI-based chat assistants, Self Chain’s keyless functionality is a rare feature that will undoubtedly attract interest from a variety of users. Navigating myriad DApps and networks and transacting on them without the need for meticulous private key management has just gotten a lot easier — all thanks to Self Chain and its implementation of MPC-TSS.

Advanced

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Self Chain (SLF): The Future of Secure Private Key Recovery

Stacks is integrating with the Aptos Network to bring Bitcoin's utility to decentralized applications through sBTC, a 1:1 Bitcoin-backed token.

The SPX index was up by 0.03%, with key sectors underperforming, including healthcare, consumer staples, and real estate, while energy, consumer discretionary, and industrial stocks outperformed. Coindesk Indices, an index measuring broader cryptocurrency market performance, was up by 2.95%, with Bitcoin and Ether rising by 3.62% and 3.16%, respectively, in the past 24 hours.

Today's top performer is SAGA, which surged 27.3% following its announcement of a new economic model focused on sharing in project success rather than charging gas fees.

Saga (SAGA), founded in 2021, is a Layer 1 blockchain protocol that allows developers to create customized chains for their applications, providing shared security and scaling solutions. 

 focuses on sharing in the success of projects built on its platform, rather than charging gas fees. Projects can launch cheaply on Saga's chainlets, and Saga takes a small cut of token activity once bridged through its infrastructure. As projects grow and their tokens become valuable, Saga can hold, use, or sell these tokens to fund ecosystem growth and buy back $SAGA tokens. This creates a network effect where success drives further success, positioning Saga as a key platform for value generation in web3.

Check Out the Latest Prices, Charts, and Data of 

 to bring Bitcoin's utility to decentralized applications through sBTC, a 1:1 Bitcoin-backed token. This integration allows Bitcoin to be used beyond a store of value, enabling participation in DeFi, gaming, AI, and social platforms on Aptos. The integration follows the resolution of an SEC investigation into Stacks, clearing the path for further Bitcoin scaling advancements. Stacks' recent Nakamoto upgrade has improved its transaction speeds and block production, facilitating this new cross-chain capability.

Yesterday, The total flow for BTC Spot ETFs was $186.8 million, with $0 from GBTC and $186.8 million from non-GBTC sources.

 on Optimism’s OP Mainnet, with 185 million WCT tokens being airdropped to users. The airdrop registration opens on September 24, targeting users who engage with WalletConnect or contribute to open-source projects. WCT tokens will drive WalletConnect's governance and economic structure, initially non-transferable until 2025. The newly formed WalletConnect Foundation will oversee the protocol's transition to a permissionless structure. WalletConnect aims to decentralize further and has seen 240% growth in the past year.

Beginner

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Stacks Integrates with Aptos, Expanding Bitcoin’s Utility to dApps and DeFi

Explore our article to find out what’s the Cipher Code for today’s Hamster Kombat’s Daily Cipher Code.

, where managing your crypto exchange meets the intellectual challenge of daily Morse code puzzles. Released each day at 7PM UTC, these puzzles do more than just test your mental agility; they offer significant rewards that can enhance your strategic influence in the game.

, challenging you to decipher a Morse code each day. Successfully solving these puzzles not only boosts your coin reserves, but also sharpens your critical thinking skills, enhancing both your gameplay and strategic planning.

Today’s Hamster Kombat Daily Cipher: Sep 18, 2024

 Daily Cipher for Sep 18, 2024, is as follows:

 —•••   ••   —•   •—   —•   —•—•   • 

Ensure each Morse code sequence is entered with precision and slight pauses between letters to confirm correct execution and secure your reward.

Gain an early advantage by trading HMSTR tokens through Bybit’s Pre-Market Trading. To get started, you’ll first need to create a Bybit account, then fund it with cryptocurrency and navigate to the 

Today's Daily Cipher and the interactive gaming activities available within 

 provide ample opportunities to boost your coin balance and deepen your engagement with the game. Each puzzle you solve not only contributes to your financial growth, but also refines your analytical skills, making every gaming session both rewarding and intellectually stimulating.

Stay tuned for daily updates and expert strategies to maintain your competitive edge in the thrilling world of 

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A Guide to Hamster Kombat's Daily Cipher Code (Sep 18, 2024)

Bybit Learn

Crypto

Learn what drives crypto volatility and discover strategies to manage it, from portfolio diversification to hedging, emotion-free investing, and utilizing smart order types like stop-loss.

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The volatility of the crypto market is often thought to be on a scale of its own, with Bitcoin (BTC) and other cryptocurrencies frequently going through head-spinning price roller coasters. In the past few years, the world's leading cryptocurrency asset (and the primary gauge of the overall crypto market's performance), the BTC coin, has experienced wild price swings. In March 2022, having just begun to recover from the catastrophic losses of the November 2021 crash, Bitcoin entered a multi-month steep decline, losing nearly two-thirds of its value between late March 2022 and early November of the same year.

More recent times have also witnessed Bitcoin's well-known volatility. Between early October 2023 and late March 2024, the cryptocurrency appreciated by 174%, a rate of growth that sounds nearly surreal to a stock market investor. By the time of this writing (Sep 12, 2024), Bitcoin has lost around 21% of those March 2024 highs and continues to demonstrate significant volatility. 

What drives the volatility of Bitcoin and the overall crypto market — and how can investors shield themselves from it? In this article, we take a closer look at crypto volatility and the best ways to manage it.

The volatility of a financial asset is defined as the rate of variation in its price over a specific period of time. Assets with high price volatility are characterized by more pronounced and frequent price fluctuations. More volatile assets are also considered riskier from an investment perspective. However, as any market participant knows, higher risk levels also mean higher return opportunities. In fact, in financial markets, volatility is synonymous with risk.

Volatility is typically measured using the 

, which shows an asset's typical magnitudes of change within a defined period. Normally, this volatility is expressed as a percentage.

Crypto Volatility vs. Traditional Market Volatility

The crypto market's typical volatility is considerably higher than the average volatility of stock markets, and often exceeds the volatility of commodities markets as well. Even Bitcoin, which is considered far less volatile than smaller-cap 

, has much higher volatility levels than traditional financial assets. While Bitcoin's one-year volatility may be declining, as shown in the chart below, it still stood at around 40% as of April 2024. In contrast, the one-year volatility of gold, global equities (ACWI IMI) and U.S. bonds (US Agg) was around 10% in April 2024, four times lower than that of Bitcoin.

The key factors contributing to the crypto market's higher volatility in comparison to traditional markets include:

Sentiment plays an important role in any market, but is particularly influential in crypto markets, as they have lower barriers to entry compared to stock markets. For instance, on many 

 (CEXs), you can start investing with just a few dollars and no identity or residence verification requirements. As a result, many novice retail investors have joined the crypto market. These investors often lack the expertise to conduct a thorough 

 of the market. As a result, they’re often driven by sentiment, particularly social media sentiment and online news.

The relatively younger age of crypto investors compared to stock market participants also makes them more prolific social media users, and social media is the primary source where emotions, hype, opinion and other elements of sentiment around crypto assets are forged. Just ask Elon Musk, one social media influencer with a penchant for swaying sentiment around assets like Bitcoin and Dogecoin (DOGE).

The first, rudimentary crypto markets began to emerge around 2010–2011. As such, the crypto market is at most 14 years old. In comparison, trading in stocks has been around for a few centuries, while commodities markets have existed for millennia. The immaturity of the crypto market means that its defining properties and rules are still being actively developed.

Compared to traditional markets, the crypto market has low levels of regulation, although this is slowly changing. In the aftermath of the 

, regulators in the U.S. and across the globe have enacted, or are in the process of enacting, laws that would better regulate crypto trading and investment. For instance, in 2023, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) 

, opening the way to bringing investment in these assets under regulatory control. The 

 in the U.S. in early 2024 has also made many analysts confident about the further stabilizing of crypto prices as more mainstream investors get exposed to Bitcoin.

However, the crypto market in general continues to be much less regulated than stock markets, which acts as one contributor to its notorious volatility.

Macroeconomic indicators like inflation rates, central bank interest rates, GDP growth rates, major free trade agreements and more have the potential to significantly affect the volatility of the cryptocurrency market. In part, this is often caused by the reallocations between asset classes initiated by large institutional investors. As a response to macroeconomic data and forecasts, these investors might shift funds between crypto and other asset classes, such as bonds, stocks or commodities. Since the crypto market has much less liquidity than traditional markets, any such reallocations can greatly affect it.

Unlike the stock market and other traditional markets, the crypto market is open 24/7 and experiences no interruption to its trading processes. The continuous nature of the market also contributes to its volatility.

Some order types and techniques can be particularly useful in 

 and digital assets. These include stop-loss orders, take-profit orders, position sizing and put options.

 orders come with an instruction to buy or sell an asset when it reaches a certain level, known as the stop price. These orders are widely used to minimize potential trading losses, and can be highly useful for limiting losses in the high-volatility environment of the crypto market.

 orders instruct traders to close a trading position when they achieve a pre-specified profit level. While stop-loss orders are used to minimize losses, take-profit orders are designed to protect profits.

 refers to the number of units a trader allocates to a specific position, taking into account their overall portfolio and 

. In high-volatility markets, position sizing can help you avoid losses resulting from overreliance on a single asset or position.

 is an options contract that gives you the right to sell a target asset at a specific price within a specified period. Put options can provide valuable protection against price losses when a high-volatility market suddenly turns bearish.

Portfolio diversification is another useful method for managing volatility. By splitting your total investment into different asset types or coins that share low or negative correlations with each other, you can protect your overall portfolio from adverse price movements. For instance, under certain market conditions, Bitcoin may exhibit low correlations with the stock market, primarily non-technology stocks. By splitting your overall portfolio between Bitcoin and non-tech stocks, you could, hopefully, expect positive returns from the latter at times when the former enters a period of losses.

 is a popular investment risk minimization approach. In its most classic form, hedging is based on opening offsetting or opposite positions to protect yourself from adverse price movements. Earlier, we noted how put options can be used to manage the volatility of the crypto market. One example of hedging would be to buy a put option on an asset on which you're currently going long. Conversely, you would buy a call option on an asset you're currently shorting as part of your hedging strategy.

Managing your emotions during trading is a critical skill, particularly in the highly volatile environment of the crypto market. The market is strongly driven by sentiment, and one way to detach yourself from emotion-based trading is to recognize the prevalent sentiment. You can do so by using crypto sentiment indices designed to measure the levels of fear (aversion to buying/predisposition to selling) and greed (aversion to selling/predisposition to buying) dominating the market. One such indicator, the 

, is offered by the Alternative.me portal.

Besides using market-wide sentiment measures, strive to base your decisions on thorough research of the crypto of interest to you in order to avoid emotion-based investing. As a minimum, this should include facts about the team behind the project, coin distribution schemes, actual activity on the platform linked to the coin, its road map and white paper, VC capital raised and historical price performance.

Useful Trading Tools for Managing Crypto Volatility

Volume analysis involves studying a crypto asset's overall trading volumes (the sum of buying and selling volume) over a period of time, such as 24 hours, 7 days, 14 days, 30 days, 3 months or longer periods. Many analysts believe that volume spikes precede price increases, while volume declines are followed by price losses.

 (MAs) can be an effective visual aid in studying the volatility of crypto assets. The 

 is derived by calculating the averages for a certain number of the latest price points (e.g., daily closing prices) for a crypto asset. These averages are then plotted along with the main price line on a chart. A typical number for the latest price points used in the calculation is often 5, 10, 20, 50 or 200, and can also vary depending upon the analyst's choice. MA-derived price lines are normally smoother than actual asset price lines, providing a useful visual tool for detecting upcoming trend reversals.

 are a visual tool for identifying trends and momentum for an asset. A Bollinger Band chart consists of three lines — a 20-day moving average price line, an upper line set at two standard deviations above the MA line and a lower line set at two standard deviations below the MA line. The number of periods for the MA line and the number of standard deviations used for the upper and lower lines can be modified, depending upon the analyst's preferences.

 (ATR) indicator is a 14-day moving average of true ranges for an asset. Each true range value is the largest difference between the asset's most recent high and most recent low. ATR is a useful measure for assessing the price volatility of an asset.

 is a valuable tool for assessing price volatility and identifying support and resistance levels. Using Fibonacci retracement, you first consider two price extremes for a given period on the price chart: the swing high and the swing low. You then calculate and plot several price points within the range, as horizontal charts. These price points typically correspond to 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% and 78.6% of the range. The percentages are based on Fibonacci numbers, which occur in many sequences in the natural world. When the asset price touches the horizontal Fibonacci levels on the chart, it provides an indication to traders concerning potential price reversals, consolidations and breakouts.

 (RSI) indicator is a technical analysis measure that indicates whether an asset is overbought (due for a correction) or oversold (due for a recovery). RSI represents a value between 0 and 100. Values above 70 indicate that an asset is overbought, while values below 30 signal an oversold asset.

Crypto market volatility presents significant challenges and unique profit opportunities for investors who aren't shy of high-risk/high-return environments. The immaturity of the crypto market, alongside its low levels of regulation, 24/7 trading opportunities and high susceptibility to sentiment-driven swings will continue to shape the nature of crypto trading. In this environment, it's critical for traders and investors to manage high levels of volatility using the methods, indicators and order types we've outlined above.

What Is Crypto Volatility and How to Manage It

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